If you've been betting on live football for a long time, you probably already know that usually late goals make the difference between a small win and a huge win. The nice thing about late goals in football is that they happen quite often - in fact, the statistics show there are a lot more goals in the last 15 minutes than in the first 15 minutes of the matches. In some teams' matches, even the goals in the last sixth (76'-90 ') of the match are more than three times the goals in the first sixth (1'-15'). Because of the good odds that are offered, betting on the next goal (or just a bet against the current exact result in Betfair markets) in the late stages of a match can be a pretty rewarding endeavor, though it does not mean that you can blindly expect to make money.
Watch for late goal symptoms
This may sound like an indication of the obvious, but if you're going to bet on a late goal, wait until you see all the signs that it may fall. You should usually look for situations where the result is even and at least one team thinks it can win, or situations where one team lags behind and presses hard to get one point. For example, if you see Manchester United move on an even-home score against a team like Bournemouth, then you can bet on a late goal. Many of you may remember the last season of Alex Ferguson at the helm of the Red Devils, when many of their points were earned literally in the final minutes and seconds of their matches.
On the reverse side of the coin, if Barcelona leads 5-0 in the final 10 minutes of the match against a weakling in the Championship, it is not very logical to bet on new hits in the match as you will be looking for goals that are not needed by anyone. If you see that both teams are not satisfied with the current result and are constantly exchanging dangerous attacks, this is a great sign that you can expect someone to put the ball in someone's net until the last referee’s signal.
Bet against the team that defends its lead
If you want to profit from late goals then you have to think about which team is more likely to score the next goal. If both teams fight hard for it, you can simply bet on a new goal in the match, but if only one of them tries to reach it, there are other betting opportunities offered to you by the bookmakers.
For example, if a team scores 1-0 with 10 minutes remaining until the end of the match and you see that the winning team is just defending and doesn’t chase new goals, then you can make money by betting on a new goal by the lagging team. For example, in Betfair markets (depending on match odds) you can constantly see the odds of winning the leading team at 1.30 in 80 'minutes of the match, while the odds for the exact score is 1.80-2.00. If you place a Bet Against the Current Exact Score, you can make a lot more money if you bet Against the Lead Team.
If you see that the leader of the team has no ambition to score more goals, it is better to look for a goal on the other team only than to bet on a goal in the match, no matter who scores it.
Be aggressive and do not stop betting
If you watch the match live in its final stages and can "smell" the late goal, then you should start betting more aggressively and add more money to this market. The beauty of this is that as time goes on the odds get better and better. If you see the tension increasing, don't limit yourself to just one bet.
For example, you are looking at a match where the home side has to catch the lead from one goal away and press hard to even out. Over 1.5 goals in the match at this time is 2.00 in Betway. By the 85th minute, the home side had not scored yet, but the pressure in front of the opponent's goal increased even more and there were a few passes missed. Instead of sitting down and just squeezing your thumbs, you can place another bet on Over 1.5 goals and the odd will be at least 3.00.
By the start of the added time, the rate for the new goal will be at least 5.00.
This is obviously a pretty aggressive approach, but keep in mind how many late goals happen in the extra time, so it's a great way to maximize your profits.
See how much is the added time
When the match enters the 90th minute, do not rush to place a new bet, and first wait to see how many minutes will be the minimum amount of time the referee will give. Practice shows that if the added time is 4 minutes, the probability of a goal falling in it is much higher than if the added time is 3 minutes. You see how just one minute makes a big difference, and sometimes the referees give a 5 or 6 minute extension, depending on what happened on the pitch in the second half. Even announcing the duration of the sequel can give a new psychological impetus to the attacking team and disrupt the opponent's defense.
You can read more live betting strategies in the Live Betting Strategy. Learn more about how to earn a bet365 bonus code and what are the current bet365 bonuses for 2020
